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Baseball Underdog System  E-mail

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This system uses strictly underdogs and is especially designed for betting on baseball.

This system is based on one simple fact - in baseball, there is a law of averages showing that over an entire season, underdogs will beat favorites about 4 games out of 9 (44%). Even with money lines of say +150 or +165. It is also a misnomer that starting pitching wins games. Therefore this system will not consider the listed starting pitchers.

Example:

If you bet $25 on 9 underdogs with odds of 2.35 (+135), you will make 4 X $25 X 2.35 = $235 – 9 X $25 = $225.  Losing record and you still end up with a profit of $10.

With just a few criteria to follow, you can get a higher chance of probability of those underdogs winning.

3 criteria to follow:

1) Eliminate the streaks. Do not bet on a game where the underdog has lost 3 or more games in a row or the favorite has won 3 or more games in a row. Baseball is very streaky because of the long season. Losing streaks as well as winning streaks.

2) Eliminate the big dogs. Games where the money line for the underdog is higher than +165. If this is the case, there is a reason and you must avoid these games. Play only games between +115 and +165.

3) Eliminate the Aces. There are still a few dominant pitchers in the game that we want to avoid betting against. If a team is facing a pitcher whom is in the top 20 of MLB, move on. I use http://www.statfox.com. Follow the ranking of starting pitchers only by earned run average (ERA).

Following this system will inevitably make you money. Following these 3 criteria every day will leave you with at least 2 underdogs to bet on. When possible, use action betting vs listed betting.  An action bet will be good even if the starting pitcher changes before the start of the game.

Money Management:

This system will put money in your pocket if you use it every day and use smart money management.

If you have a $1000 bankroll, you should consider not betting more than 2.5% or $25 a game.

If your five underdogs lose one day and win the next, you will be up money. Take the edge away from the sportsbooks. Bet smart and be rich.


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